IRAN: THE UN HAS CONFIRMED THAT IRAN HAS SMUGGLED BALLISTIC MISSILES INTO YEMEN AND NAMED THE IRANIAN COMPANIES INVOLVED (source TWI).
The report from the UN Panel of Experts noted in its report on January 26, 2018 that “the Panel finds that the Islamic Republic of Iran is in non-compliance with paragraph 14 of resolution 2216 (2015) in that it failed to take the necessary measures to prevent the direct or indirect supply, sale or transfer of Borkan-2H short-range ballistic missiles, field storage tanks for liquid bipropellant oxidizer for missiles and Ababil-T (Qasef-1) unmanned aerial vehicles to the then Houthi-Saleh alliance.”
Since the report also name the Iranian companies involved, there is a clear possibility that US President Trump will not issue a new waiver on May 12 about the JCPOA-deal and if no agreement between the US and the most important EU-countries involved – UK, France and Germany – have been reached by then, new sanctions are forthcoming.
At the heart of this conflict lies the fact that the JCPOA-deal didn’t factor in Iranian non-nuclear policies, such as supporting terrorism and smuggling weapons, including non-nuclear WMD, such as ballistic missiles.
The US administration has threatened to leave the deal if these other Iranian activities are not dealt with before the next waiver is due in May and the UN report give Washington solid evidence of Iranian non-compliance.
For Washington and her European allies the clock is ticking and if the JCPOA-deal is to be saved, it’s necessary that a transatlantic deal is reached. For Europe, it’s paramount to save the deal but at the same time to keep at least a working relationship with Washington alive. Without a western alliance strong enough to withstand Russian and Iranian policies in Syria and the larger Middle East, no long-term peace is possible. An agreement to save the JCPOA-deal and to punish Iran for its non-compliance is therefore likely before May.